Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OG·pick 120

FIRST OG IN OUR WINDOW AT #120

Childs, BobBob Childs

Drafted by LAR · Kansas

1972 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OG grouping.

3
OGs drafted at #120 in NFL history
most recent: Carter Warren (NYJ, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1971, the model gave a offensive guard at #120 a 6.0% chance in 1972.

Offensive guard at #120, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%13.9% 1972: 6.0%

Peak: 13.9% · 2027 model: 13.1%

Surrounding picks · 1972 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

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