Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OG·pick 152

FIRST OG IN OUR WINDOW AT #152

Chris Villarrial

Drafted by CHI , GM Rod Graves · Indiana (PA)

1996 · round 5

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OG grouping.

3
OGs drafted at #152 in NFL history
most recent: Colby Sorsdal (DET, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1995, the model gave a offensive guard at #152 a 6.0% chance in 1996.

Offensive guard at #152, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%13.9% 1996: 6.0%

Peak: 13.9% · 2027 model: 13.4%

Surrounding picks · 1996 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

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