Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OG·pick 153

FIRST OG IN OUR WINDOW AT #153

Tom Alward

Drafted by NYJ · Nebraska

1975 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OG grouping.

7
OGs drafted at #153 in NFL history
most recent: Jalen Rivers (CIN, 2025)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1974, the model gave a offensive guard at #153 a 6.8% chance in 1975.

Offensive guard at #153, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%13.9% 1975: 6.8%

Peak: 13.9% · 2027 model: 13.7%

Surrounding picks · 1975 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 6 picks

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