Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OG·pick 160

FIRST OG IN OUR WINDOW AT #160

Gary Hertzog

Drafted by NO · Willamette

1967 · earliest year in the data window · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OG grouping.

6
OGs drafted at #160 in NFL history
most recent: Billy Schrauth (TB, 2026)

How rare was this draftigami?

No rarity score , the model compares each pick to its predictions for earlier seasons, and drafts from 1967–1969 sit before that runway is long enough.

Offensive guard at #160, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%13.8%

Peak: 13.8% · 2027 model: 13.8%

Surrounding picks · 1967 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 5 picks

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