Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OG·pick 161

FIRST OG IN OUR WINDOW AT #161

Bill Adams

Drafted by MIA · Holy Cross

1972 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OG grouping.

8
OGs drafted at #161 in NFL history
most recent: Tommy Doyle (BUF, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1971, the model gave a offensive guard at #161 a 6.0% chance in 1972.

Offensive guard at #161, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%14.6% 1972: 6.0%

Peak: 14.6% · 2027 model: 14.4%

Surrounding picks · 1972 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 7 picks

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