Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OG·pick 170

FIRST OG IN OUR WINDOW AT #170

Chad Ward

Drafted by JAX , GM Tom Coughlin · Washington

2001 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OG grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2000, the model gave a offensive guard at #170 a 6.8% chance in 2001.

Offensive guard at #170, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%13.6% 2001: 6.8%

Peak: 13.6% · 2027 model: 13.4%

Surrounding picks · 2001 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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