OG · pick 173, First OG at #173 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OG grouping. (2013)

OG·pick 173

FIRST OG IN OUR WINDOW AT #173

Vinston Painter

Drafted by DEN , GM John Elway · Virginia Tech

2013 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OG grouping.

OGs drafted at #173 in NFL history

most recent: Marcus McKethan (NYG, 2022)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2012, the model gave a offensive guard at #173 a 5.6% chance in 2013.

Offensive guard at #173, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 14.1% · 2027 model: 13.9%

Surrounding picks · 2013 draft

#168OTRicky WagnerBAL , GM Ozzie Newsome
#169SJosh EvansJAX , GM David Caldwell
#170CEric KushKC , GM John Dorsey
#171WRCorey FullerDET , GM Martin Mayhew
#172TENick KasaLV , GM Reggie McKenzie
#174WRRyan SwopeARI , GM Steve Keim
#175SJamoris SlaughterCLE , GM Mike Lombardi
#176OGDavid QuessenberryHOU , GM Rick Smith
#177STDustin HopkinsBUF , GM Doug Whaley
#178OGWilliam CampbellNYJ , GM John Idzik

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2022Marcus McKethanNYG , GM Joe Schoen · North Carolina
2014Wesley JohnsonPIT , GM Kevin Colbert · Vanderbilt

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