OG · pick 197, First OG at #197 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OG grouping. (1999)

OG·pick 197

FIRST OG IN OUR WINDOW AT #197

J.P. Machado

Drafted by NYJ , GM Bill Parcells · Illinois

1999 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OG grouping.

OGs drafted at #197 in NFL history

most recent: William Sherman (NE, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1998, the model gave a offensive guard at #197 a 6.7% chance in 1999.

Offensive guard at #197, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 14.3% · 2027 model: 14.3%

Surrounding picks · 1999 draft

#192STBrent BartholomewMIA , GM Jimmy Johnson
#193WRMarTay JenkinsDAL , GM Jerry Jones
#194SArmon HatcherBUF , GM John Butler
#195RBLamarr GlennTB , GM Rich McKay
#196WRDee MillerGB , GM Ron Wolf
#198LBJeff KellyATL , GM Harold Richardson
#199LBAntico DaltonMIN , GM Frank Gilliam
#201WRTroy SmithPHI , GM Tom Modrak
#202LBMelvin BradleyARI , GM Bob Ferguson
#203OTScott CurryGB , GM Ron Wolf

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2021William ShermanNE , GM Bill Belichick · Colorado
2005Justin GeisingerBUF , GM Tom Donahoe · Vanderbilt

→ see this cell on the full chart