Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OG·pick 2

FIRST OG IN OUR WINDOW AT #2

Bill Fralic

Drafted by ATL , GM Tom Braatz · Pittsburgh

1985 · round 1

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OG grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1984, the model gave a offensive guard at #2 a 4.4% chance in 1985.

Offensive guard at #2, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%6.2% 1985: 4.4%

Peak: 6.2% · 2027 model: 1.5%

Surrounding picks · 1985 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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