OG · pick 201, First OG at #201 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OG grouping. (2011)

OG·pick 201

FIRST OG IN OUR WINDOW AT #201

Stephen Schilling

Drafted by LAC , GM A.J. Smith · Michigan

2011 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OG grouping.

OGs drafted at #201 in NFL history

most recent: Jarrett Patterson (HOU, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2010, the model gave a offensive guard at #201 a 5.5% chance in 2011.

Offensive guard at #201, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 14.2% · 2027 model: 14.1%

Surrounding picks · 2011 draft

#196OGKeith WilliamsPIT , GM Kevin Colbert
#197DTRicky ElmoreGB , GM Ted Thompson
#198STyler SashNYG , GM Jerry Reese
#199DTJerrell PoweKC , GM Scott Pioli
#200LBRoss HomanMIN , GM Rick Spielman
#202LBJacquian WilliamsNYG , GM Jerry Reese
#203OGZachary WilliamsCAR , GM Marty Hurney
#204TEVirgil GreenDEN , GM John Elway
#205DTPep LevingstonSEA , GM John Schneider
#206CBJustin RogersBUF , GM Buddy Nix

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2023Jarrett PattersonHOU , GM Nick Caserio · Notre Dame

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