Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OG·pick 204

FIRST OG IN OUR WINDOW AT #204

Chris Kemoeatu

Drafted by PIT , GM Kevin Colbert · Utah

2005 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OG grouping.

3
OGs drafted at #204 in NFL history
most recent: Ajani Cornelius (DAL, 2025)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2004, the model gave a offensive guard at #204 a 6.8% chance in 2005.

Offensive guard at #204, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%14.4% 2005: 6.8%

Peak: 14.4% · 2027 model: 14.4%

Surrounding picks · 2005 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

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