OG · pick 221, First OG at #221 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OG grouping. (1995)

OG·pick 221

FIRST OG IN OUR WINDOW AT #221

Tom Nutten

Drafted by BUF , GM John Butler · Western Michigan

1995 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OG grouping.

OGs drafted at #221 in NFL history

most recent: Jonah Monheim (JAX, 2025)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1994, the model gave a offensive guard at #221 a 6.3% chance in 1995.

Offensive guard at #221, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 14.7% · 2027 model: 14.6%

Surrounding picks · 1995 draft

#216DEKeif BryantSEA , GM Mike Allman
#217WRCurtis CeaserNYJ , GM Steve Gutman / Pat Kirwan
#218LBSteve RussDEN , GM Mike Shanahan
#219WRCurtis MarshJAX , GM Tom Coughlin
#220CBHerman O'BerryLAR , GM John Shaw / Jay Zygmunt
#222TEByron ChamberlainDEN , GM Mike Shanahan
#223LBJessie CoxIND , GM Bill Tobin
#224LBWesley LeasyARI , GM Larry Wilson
#225STBryne DiehlNYG , GM George Young
#226CBScott TurnerWAS , GM Charley Casserly

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2025Jonah MonheimJAX , GM James Gladstone · USC
2016Ted KarrasNE , GM Bill Belichick · Illinois
2004Tony PapeMIA , GM Rick Spielman · Michigan

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