Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OG·pick 222

FIRST OG IN OUR WINDOW AT #222

Jason Thomas

Drafted by LAC , GM Bobby Beathard · Hampton

2000 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OG grouping.

2
OGs drafted at #222 in NFL history
most recent: Chester Adams (CHI, 2008)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1999, the model gave a offensive guard at #222 a 7.2% chance in 2000.

Offensive guard at #222, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%14.5% 2000: 7.2%

Peak: 14.5% · 2027 model: 14.4%

Surrounding picks · 2000 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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