Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OG·pick 235

FIRST OG IN OUR WINDOW AT #235

Gavin Gerhardt

Drafted by MIN · Cincinnati

2026 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OG grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2025, the model gave a offensive guard at #235 a 14.2% chance in 2026.

Offensive guard at #235, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%14.4% 2026: 14.2%

Peak: 14.4% · 2027 model: 14.4%

Surrounding picks · 2026 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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