Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OG·pick 239

FIRST OG IN OUR WINDOW AT #239

Eric Heitmann

Drafted by SF , GM Terry Donahue · Stanford

2002 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OG grouping.

3
OGs drafted at #239 in NFL history
most recent: Michael Person (SF, 2011)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2001, the model gave a offensive guard at #239 a 7.1% chance in 2002.

Offensive guard at #239, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%15.0% 2002: 7.1%

Peak: 15.0% · 2027 model: 15.0%

Surrounding picks · 2002 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

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