Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OG·pick 240

FIRST OG IN OUR WINDOW AT #240

Melvin Thomas

Drafted by PHI , GM Tom Modrak · Colorado

1998 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OG grouping.

2
OGs drafted at #240 in NFL history
most recent: Reid Fragel (CIN, 2013)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1997, the model gave a offensive guard at #240 a 6.8% chance in 1998.

Offensive guard at #240, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%14.8% 1998: 6.8%

Peak: 14.8% · 2027 model: 14.8%

Surrounding picks · 1998 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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