Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OG·pick 246

FIRST OG IN OUR WINDOW AT #246

Brian Rimpf

Drafted by BAL , GM Ozzie Newsome · East Carolina

2004 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OG grouping.

5
OGs drafted at #246 in NFL history
most recent: Dawson Deaton (CLE, 2022)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2003, the model gave a offensive guard at #246 a 7.1% chance in 2004.

Offensive guard at #246, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%15.6% 2004: 7.1%

Peak: 15.6% · 2027 model: 15.6%

Surrounding picks · 2004 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

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