Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OG·pick 33

FIRST OG IN OUR WINDOW AT #33

Greg Roberts

Drafted by TB · Oklahoma

1979 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OG grouping.

5
OGs drafted at #33 in NFL history
most recent: Xavier Su'a-Filo (HOU, 2014)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1978, the model gave a offensive guard at #33 a 7.2% chance in 1979.

Offensive guard at #33, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%15.4% 1979: 7.2%

Peak: 15.4% · 2027 model: 14.6%

Surrounding picks · 1979 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

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