Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OG·pick 35

FIRST OG IN OUR WINDOW AT #35

Arron Sears

Drafted by TB , GM Bruce Allen · Tennessee

2007 · round 2

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OG grouping.

2
OGs drafted at #35 in NFL history
most recent: Joel Bitonio (CLE, 2014)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2006, the model gave a offensive guard at #35 a 5.6% chance in 2007.

Offensive guard at #35, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%14.9% 2007: 5.6%

Peak: 14.9% · 2027 model: 14.2%

Surrounding picks · 2007 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

→ see this cell on the full chart