Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OG·pick 40

FIRST OG IN OUR WINDOW AT #40

Brian DeMarco

Drafted by JAX , GM Tom Coughlin · Michigan St.

1995 · round 2

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OG grouping.

2
OGs drafted at #40 in NFL history
most recent: Amini Silatolu (CAR, 2012)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1994, the model gave a offensive guard at #40 a 6.4% chance in 1995.

Offensive guard at #40, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%15.0% 1995: 6.4%

Peak: 15.0% · 2027 model: 13.7%

Surrounding picks · 1995 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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