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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OG·pick 46

FIRST OG IN OUR WINDOW AT #46

Larry Allen

Drafted by DAL , GM Jerry Jones · Sonoma St.

1994 · round 2

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OG grouping.

3
OGs drafted at #46 in NFL history
most recent: Justin Smiley (SF, 2004)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1993, the model gave a offensive guard at #46 a 6.6% chance in 1994.

Offensive guard at #46, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%15.0% 1994: 6.6%

Peak: 15.0% · 2027 model: 13.6%

Surrounding picks · 1994 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

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