OG · pick 5, First OG at #5 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OG grouping. (2024)

OG·pick 5

FIRST OG IN OUR WINDOW AT #5

Joe Alt

Drafted by LAC , GM Joe Hortiz · Notre Dame

2024 · round 1

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OG grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2023, the model gave a offensive guard at #5 a 2.8% chance in 2024.

Offensive guard at #5, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 7.5% · 2027 model: 6.7%

Surrounding picks · 2024 draft

#1QBCaleb WilliamsCHI , GM Ryan Poles
#2QBJayden DanielsWAS , GM Adam Peters
#3QBDrake MayeNE , GM Eliot Wolf
#4WRMarvin Harrison Jr.ARI , GM Monti Ossenfort
#6WRMalik NabersNYG , GM Joe Schoen
#7OGJC LathamTEN , GM Ran Carthon
#8QBMichael PenixATL , GM Terry Fontenot
#9WRRome OdunzeCHI , GM Ryan Poles
#10QBJ.J. McCarthyMIN , GM Kwesi Adofo-Mensah

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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