Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OG·pick 54

FIRST OG IN OUR WINDOW AT #54

Paul Howard

Drafted by DEN · BYU

1973 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OG grouping.

2
OGs drafted at #54 in NFL history
most recent: Dave Zawatson (CHI, 1989)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1972, the model gave a offensive guard at #54 a 6.4% chance in 1973.

Offensive guard at #54, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%14.7% 1973: 6.4%

Peak: 14.7% · 2027 model: 13.0%

Surrounding picks · 1973 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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