Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OG·pick 57

FIRST OG IN OUR WINDOW AT #57

Jim Reilly

Drafted by BUF · Notre Dame

1970 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OG grouping.

6
OGs drafted at #57 in NFL history
most recent: Tate Ratledge (DET, 2025)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1969, the model gave a offensive guard at #57 a 7.0% chance in 1970.

Offensive guard at #57, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%15.4% 1970: 7.0%

Peak: 15.4% · 2027 model: 13.8%

Surrounding picks · 1970 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 5 picks

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