OG · pick 58, First OG at #58 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OG grouping. (1981)

OG·pick 58

FIRST OG IN OUR WINDOW AT #58

Bill Dugan

Drafted by SEA , GM John Thompson · Penn St.

1981 · round 3

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OG grouping.

OGs drafted at #58 in NFL history

most recent: Chris Gambol (IND, 1987)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1980, the model gave a offensive guard at #58 a 7.1% chance in 1981.

Offensive guard at #58, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 14.7% · 2027 model: 12.9%

Surrounding picks · 1981 draft

#53WRDoug DonleyDAL , GM Tex Schramm
#54LBLyman WhiteATL , GM Eddie LeBaron
#55OTDean MiraldiPHI , GM Jim Murray
#56RBAndra FranklinMIA , GM Don Shula
#57DEFrank WarrenNO , GM Ken Meyer/staff
#59WRJohn MistlerNYG , GM George Young
#60DTBen RudolphNYJ , GM Jim Kensil
#61CBJeff GriffinARI , GM Bill Bidwill
#62STRay StachowiczGB , GM Bart Starr
#63DTGreg MeisnerLAR , GM Don Klosterman

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

1987Chris GambolIND , GM Jim Irsay/staff · Iowa

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