Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OG·pick 79

FIRST OG IN OUR WINDOW AT #79

Ernie Hughes

Drafted by SF · Notre Dame

1978 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OG grouping.

5
OGs drafted at #79 in NFL history
most recent: Matt Goncalves (IND, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1977, the model gave a offensive guard at #79 a 7.0% chance in 1978.

Offensive guard at #79, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%15.1% 1978: 7.0%

Peak: 15.1% · 2027 model: 13.4%

Surrounding picks · 1978 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

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