OG · pick 81, First OG at #81 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OG grouping. (1975)

OG·pick 81

FIRST OG IN OUR WINDOW AT #81

John Nessel

Drafted by ATL · Penn State

1975 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OG grouping.

OGs drafted at #81 in NFL history

most recent: Dylan Fairchild (CIN, 2025)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1974, the model gave a offensive guard at #81 a 6.4% chance in 1975.

Offensive guard at #81, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 15.7% · 2027 model: 14.3%

Surrounding picks · 1975 draft

#76RBLouis CarterLV
#77LBBo HarrisCIN
#78TEWalter WhitePIT
#79SRobert GiblinNYG
#80WRMarshall JohnsonIND
#82CBTony PetersCLE
#83CBVirgil LiversCHI
#85DECleveland ElamSF
#86RBAllen CarterNE
#87CBFrank OliverSF

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 9 picks

2025Dylan FairchildCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Georgia
2024Christian HaynesSEA , GM John Schneider · Connecticut
2015John MillerBUF , GM Doug Whaley · Louisville
2014Gabe JacksonLV , GM Reggie McKenzie · Mississippi St.
2005Richie IncognitoLAR , GM Charley Armey · Oregon
2003Derrick DockeryWAS , GM Vinny Cerrato · Texas
1999Zach PillerTEN , GM Floyd Reese · Florida
1981Glen TitensorDAL , GM Tex Schramm · BYU
1977Val BelcherDAL · Houston

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