Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OG·pick 91

FIRST OG IN OUR WINDOW AT #91

Tom Thayer

Drafted by CHI , GM Jerry Vainisi · Notre Dame

1983 · round 4

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OG grouping.

3
OGs drafted at #91 in NFL history
most recent: Emery Jones (BAL, 2025)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1982, the model gave a offensive guard at #91 a 7.1% chance in 1983.

Offensive guard at #91, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%14.3% 1983: 7.1%

Peak: 14.3% · 2027 model: 12.9%

Surrounding picks · 1983 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

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