OT · pick 115, First OT at #115 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OT grouping. (2004)

OT·pick 115

FIRST OT IN OUR WINDOW AT #115

Nat Dorsey

Drafted by MIN , GM Mike Tice / Brzezinski · Georgia Tech

2004 · round 4

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OT grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2003, the model gave a offensive tackle at #115 a 5.7% chance in 2004.

Offensive tackle at #115, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 11.7% · 2027 model: 3.7%

Surrounding picks · 2004 draft

#110CBNathan VasherCHI , GM Jerry Angelo
#111SWill AllenTB , GM Bruce Allen
#112LBLeon JoeCHI , GM Jerry Angelo
#113SDexter ReidNE , GM Bill Belichick
#114DTMatthias AskewCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#116LBNiko KoutouvidesSEA , GM Mike Holmgren
#117DERobert GeathersCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#118DTAnthony MaddoxJAX , GM James Harris
#119RBMewelde MooreMIN , GM Mike Tice / Brzezinski
#120WRErnest WilfordJAX , GM James Harris

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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