OT · pick 123, First OT at #123 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OT grouping. (2000)

OT·pick 123

FIRST OT IN OUR WINDOW AT #123

Joey Chustz

Drafted by JAX , GM Tom Coughlin · Louisiana Tech

2000 · round 4

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OT grouping.

OTs drafted at #123 in NFL history

most recent: Jerald Hawkins (PIT, 2016)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1999, the model gave a offensive tackle at #123 a 5.4% chance in 2000.

Offensive tackle at #123, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 11.7% · 2027 model: 4.1%

Surrounding picks · 2000 draft

#118STyrone CarterMIN , GM Frank Gilliam
#119LBIsaiah KacyvenskiSEA , GM Mike Holmgren
#120DEAlvin McKinleyCAR , GM Dom Anile
#121WRAvion BlackBUF , GM John Butler
#122DTJosh WilliamsIND , GM Bill Polian
#124SBobby MyersTEN , GM Floyd Reese
#125CBReggie AustinCHI , GM Mark Hatley
#126SGary BerryGB , GM Ron Wolf
#127OTGreg RandallNE , GM Bill Belichick
#128LBPeter SirmonTEN , GM Floyd Reese

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2016Jerald HawkinsPIT , GM Kevin Colbert · LSU
2004Stacy AndrewsCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Mississippi

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