Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OT·pick 145

FIRST OT IN OUR WINDOW AT #145

Smith, EricEric Smith

Drafted by BUF · Southern Miss

1978 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OT grouping.

5
OTs drafted at #145 in NFL history
most recent: Darian Kinnard (KC, 2022)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1977, the model gave a offensive tackle at #145 a 9.3% chance in 1978.

Offensive tackle at #145, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%11.8% 1978: 9.3%

Peak: 11.8% · 2027 model: 3.8%

Surrounding picks · 1978 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

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