OT · pick 146, First OT at #146 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OT grouping. (1983)

OT·pick 146

FIRST OT IN OUR WINDOW AT #146

Ellis Gardner

Drafted by KC , GM Jim Schaaf · Georgia Tech

1983 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OT grouping.

OTs drafted at #146 in NFL history

most recent: Jimmy Herndon (JAX, 1996)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1982, the model gave a offensive tackle at #146 a 6.5% chance in 1983.

Offensive tackle at #146, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 11.8% · 2027 model: 3.3%

Surrounding picks · 1983 draft

#141WRTrumaine JohnsonLAC , GM Steve Ortmayer
#142SSteve HaworthTEN , GM Ladd Herzeg
#143CBVictor HeflinDEN , GM Edgar Kaiser/staff
#144OTGary KowalskiLAR , GM Don Klosterman
#145TETim StrackaCLE , GM Art Modell/staff
#147WRVictor OatisPHI , GM Jim Murray
#148WRGene BrantonTB , GM Phil Krueger
#149DTDave PuzzuoliCLE , GM Art Modell/staff
#150RBReginald GipsonSEA , GM Mike McCormack
#151LBDarrell PattersonNYG , GM George Young

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

1996Jimmy HerndonJAX , GM Tom Coughlin · Houston
1992Brian BrauningerARI , GM Bill Bidwill · Oklahoma

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