Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OT·pick 16

FIRST OT IN OUR WINDOW AT #16

Luis Sharpe

Drafted by ARI , GM Bill Bidwill · UCLA

1982 · round 1

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OT grouping.

2
OTs drafted at #16 in NFL history
most recent: Taylor Decker (DET, 2016)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1981, the model gave a offensive tackle at #16 a 8.7% chance in 1982.

Offensive tackle at #16, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%11.2% 1982: 8.7%

Peak: 11.2% · 2027 model: 7.0%

Surrounding picks · 1982 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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