Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OT·pick 170

FIRST OT IN OUR WINDOW AT #170

Barry Richardson

Drafted by KC , GM Carl Peterson · Clemson

2008 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OT grouping.

3
OTs drafted at #170 in NFL history
most recent: Cole Toner (ARI, 2016)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2007, the model gave a offensive tackle at #170 a 6.7% chance in 2008.

Offensive tackle at #170, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%12.0% 2008: 6.7%

Peak: 12.0% · 2027 model: 3.9%

Surrounding picks · 2008 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

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