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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OT·pick 173

FIRST OT IN OUR WINDOW AT #173

Donn Smith

Drafted by KC · Purdue

1973 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OT grouping.

4
OTs drafted at #173 in NFL history
most recent: Tony Pashos (BAL, 2003)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1972, the model gave a offensive tackle at #173 a 9.8% chance in 1973.

Offensive tackle at #173, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%11.9% 1973: 9.8%

Peak: 11.9% · 2027 model: 3.4%

Surrounding picks · 1973 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

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