Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OT·pick 178

FIRST OT IN OUR WINDOW AT #178

Karl Baldischwiler

Drafted by MIA · Oklahoma

1978 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OT grouping.

5
OTs drafted at #178 in NFL history
most recent: Marko Cavka (NYJ, 2004)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1977, the model gave a offensive tackle at #178 a 9.8% chance in 1978.

Offensive tackle at #178, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%12.0% 1978: 9.8%

Peak: 12.0% · 2027 model: 3.7%

Surrounding picks · 1978 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart