OT · pick 18, First OT at #18 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OT grouping. (1993)

OT·pick 18

FIRST OT IN OUR WINDOW AT #18

Ernest Dye

Drafted by ARI , GM Bill Bidwill · South Carolina

1993 · round 1

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OT grouping.

OTs drafted at #18 in NFL history

most recent: Grey Zabel (SEA, 2025)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1992, the model gave a offensive tackle at #18 a 7.1% chance in 1993.

Offensive tackle at #18, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 11.2% · 2027 model: 7.0%

Surrounding picks · 1993 draft

#13OTBrad HopkinsTEN , GM Mike Holovak
#14CSteve EverittCLE , GM Bill Belichick
#15LBWayne SimmonsGB , GM Ron Wolf
#16WRSean DawkinsIND , GM Jim Irsay/staff
#17CBTom CarterWAS , GM Charley Casserly
#19OGLester HolmesPHI , GM Harry Gamble
#20TEIrv SmithNO , GM Jim Finks
#21RBRobert SmithMIN , GM Roger Headrick
#22CBDarrien GordonLAC , GM Bobby Beathard
#23CBDeon FiguresPIT , GM Tom Donahoe

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2025Grey ZabelSEA , GM John Schneider · North Dakota St.
2020Austin JacksonMIA , GM Chris Grier · USC
2001Jeff BackusDET , GM Matt Millen · Michigan

→ see this cell on the full chart