OT · pick 205, First OT at #205 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OT grouping. (2022)

OT·pick 205

FIRST OT IN OUR WINDOW AT #205

Austin Deculus

Drafted by HOU , GM Nick Caserio · LSU

2022 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OT grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2021, the model gave a offensive tackle at #205 a 5.3% chance in 2022.

Offensive tackle at #205, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 12.3% · 2027 model: 3.3%

Surrounding picks · 2022 draft

#200DESam RobertsNE , GM Bill Belichick
#201RBKeaontay IngramARI , GM Steve Keim
#202WRMichael Woods IICLE , GM Andrew Berry
#203RBTrestan EbnerCHI , GM Ryan Poles
#204STheo JacksonTEN , GM Jon Robinson
#206DEMatt HenningsenDEN , GM George Paton
#207OGDoug KramerCHI , GM Ryan Poles
#208TEConnor HeywardPIT , GM Kevin Colbert
#209OGLuke TenutaBUF , GM Brandon Beane
#210OGChasen HinesNE , GM Bill Belichick

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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