OT · pick 207, First OT at #207 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OT grouping. (2004)

OT·pick 207

FIRST OT IN OUR WINDOW AT #207

Dylan McFarland

Drafted by BUF , GM Tom Donahoe · Montana

2004 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OT grouping.

OTs drafted at #207 in NFL history

most recent: Michael Jerrell (SEA, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2003, the model gave a offensive tackle at #207 a 5.6% chance in 2004.

Offensive tackle at #207, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 12.3% · 2027 model: 3.7%

Surrounding picks · 2004 draft

#202QBJohn NavarreARI , GM Rod Graves
#203OTDrew StrojnyNYG , GM Ernie Accorsi
#204DTRyon BinghamLAC , GM A.J. Smith
#205SNate JonesDAL , GM Jerry Jones
#206WRMark JonesTB , GM Bruce Allen
#208RBAdimchinobe EchemanduCLE , GM Butch Davis
#209OTShane OliveaLAC , GM A.J. Smith
#210LBRaheem OrrHOU , GM Charley Casserly
#211WRSloan ThomasHOU , GM Charley Casserly
#212DTEric TaylorPIT , GM Kevin Colbert

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2024Michael JerrellSEA , GM John Schneider · Findlay
2005Joe BergerCAR , GM Marty Hurney · Michigan Tech

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