OT · pick 209, First OT at #209 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OT grouping. (2003)

OT·pick 209

FIRST OT IN OUR WINDOW AT #209

Tim Provost

Drafted by MIA , GM Rick Spielman · San Jose St.

2003 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OT grouping.

OTs drafted at #209 in NFL history

most recent: Simon Stepaniak (GB, 2020)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2002, the model gave a offensive tackle at #209 a 5.4% chance in 2003.

Offensive tackle at #209, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 12.4% · 2027 model: 4.2%

Surrounding picks · 2003 draft

#204OTDustin RykertLV , GM Al Davis era
#205CBTorrie CoxTB , GM Rich McKay
#206RBBrock ForseyCHI , GM Jerry Angelo
#207CBFrank WalkerNYG , GM Ernie Accorsi
#208OTMakoa FreitasIND , GM Bill Polian
#210LBTony GilbertARI , GM Rod Graves
#211WRDavid TyreeNYG , GM Ernie Accorsi
#212OTBrennan CurtinGB , GM Mike Sherman
#213SYeremiah BellMIA , GM Rick Spielman
#214DTKeith WrightHOU , GM Charley Casserly

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2020Simon StepaniakGB , GM Brian Gutekunst · Indiana
2007Corey HilliardNE , GM Bill Belichick · Oklahoma St.
2005Rob PetittiDAL , GM Jerry Jones · Pittsburgh
2004Shane OliveaLAC , GM A.J. Smith · Ohio St.

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