OT · pick 216, First OT at #216 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OT grouping. (2003)

OT·pick 216

FIRST OT IN OUR WINDOW AT #216

Ben Johnson

Drafted by DET , GM Matt Millen · Wisconsin

2003 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OT grouping.

OTs drafted at #216 in NFL history

most recent: Kyle Calloway (BUF, 2010)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2002, the model gave a offensive tackle at #216 a 5.4% chance in 2003.

Offensive tackle at #216, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 12.4% · 2027 model: 3.7%

Surrounding picks · 2003 draft

#211WRDavid TyreeNYG , GM Ernie Accorsi
#212OTBrennan CurtinGB , GM Mike Sherman
#213SYeremiah BellMIA , GM Rick Spielman
#214DTKeith WrightHOU , GM Charley Casserly
#215OTScott KooistraCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#217SCurry BurnsHOU , GM Charley Casserly
#218RBMalaefou MacKenzieJAX , GM James Harris
#219OGJustin BatesDAL , GM Jerry Jones
#220CBBlue AdamsDET , GM Matt Millen
#221WRKeenan HowryMIN , GM Mike Tice / Brzezinski

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2010Kyle CallowayBUF , GM Buddy Nix · Iowa
2006Terrance PenningtonBUF , GM Marv Levy · New Mexico

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