Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OT·pick 217

FIRST OT IN OUR WINDOW AT #217

Chad Overhauser

Drafted by CHI , GM Mark Hatley · UCLA

1998 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OT grouping.

2
OTs drafted at #217 in NFL history
most recent: Jon Dunn (CLE, 2005)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1997, the model gave a offensive tackle at #217 a 6.6% chance in 1998.

Offensive tackle at #217, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%12.4% 1998: 6.6%

Peak: 12.4% · 2027 model: 3.5%

Surrounding picks · 1998 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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