OT · pick 221, First OT at #221 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OT grouping. (2012)

OT·pick 221

FIRST OT IN OUR WINDOW AT #221

Nate Potter

Drafted by ARI , GM Rod Graves · Boise St.

2012 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OT grouping.

OTs drafted at #221 in NFL history

most recent: Travis Clayton (BUF, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2011, the model gave a offensive tackle at #221 a 7.3% chance in 2012.

Offensive tackle at #221, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 12.4% · 2027 model: 3.4%

Surrounding picks · 2012 draft

#216SD.J. CampbellCAR , GM Marty Hurney
#217SJordan BernstineWAS , GM Bruce Allen
#218DTJerome LongKC , GM Scott Pioli
#219DETrevor GuytonMIN , GM Rick Spielman
#220CBGreg McCoyCHI , GM Phil Emery
#222LBCaleb McSurdyDAL , GM Jerry Jones
#223LBTravis LewisDET , GM Martin Mayhew
#224CBAlfonzo DennardNE , GM Bill Belichick
#225DTJ.R. SweezySEA , GM John Schneider
#226CDavid MolkLAC , GM A.J. Smith

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2024Travis ClaytonBUF , GM Brandon Beane

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