OT · pick 231, First OT at #231 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OT grouping. (2004)

OT·pick 231

FIRST OT IN OUR WINDOW AT #231

Kevin Sampson

Drafted by KC , GM Carl Peterson · Syracuse

2004 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OT grouping.

OTs drafted at #231 in NFL history

most recent: Larnel Coleman (MIA, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2003, the model gave a offensive tackle at #231 a 5.5% chance in 2004.

Offensive tackle at #231, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 12.5% · 2027 model: 3.8%

Surrounding picks · 2004 draft

#226DTChristian FerraraSF , GM Terry Donahue
#227OGAdrien ClarkePHI , GM Andy Reid
#228RBCasey CramerTB , GM Bruce Allen
#229STDavid KimballIND , GM Bill Polian
#230DTJared ClaussTEN , GM Floyd Reese
#232TEMichael GainesCAR , GM Marty Hurney
#233CBChristian MortonNE , GM Bill Belichick
#234DETrevor JohnsonNYJ , GM Terry Bradway
#235RBDerrick WardNYJ , GM Terry Bradway
#236SRashad WashingtonNYJ , GM Terry Bradway

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2021Larnel ColemanMIA , GM Chris Grier · Massachusetts
2017Jylan WareLV , GM Reggie McKenzie · Alabama St.
2010Selvish CapersWAS , GM Bruce Allen · West Virginia

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