OT · pick 254, First OT at #254 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OT grouping. (2004)

OT·pick 254

FIRST OT IN OUR WINDOW AT #254

Carlos Joseph

Drafted by LAC , GM A.J. Smith · Miami (FL)

2004 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OT grouping.

OTs drafted at #254 in NFL history

most recent: Korey Cunningham (ARI, 2018)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2003, the model gave a offensive tackle at #254 a 5.5% chance in 2004.

Offensive tackle at #254, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 12.7% · 2027 model: 3.6%

Surrounding picks · 2004 draft

#249DEBobby McCrayJAX , GM James Harris
#250QBBradlee Van PeltDEN , GM Mike Shanahan
#251OGScott WellsGB , GM Mike Sherman
#252CBLenny WilliamsTB , GM Bruce Allen
#253DEIsaac HiltonNYG , GM Ernie Accorsi
#255LBAndre SommersellLV , GM Al Davis era

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2018Korey CunninghamARI , GM Steve Keim · Cincinnati
2005Doug NienhuisSEA , GM Tim Ruskell · Oregon St.

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