OT · pick 261, First OT at #261 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OT grouping. (2022)

OT·pick 261

FIRST OT IN OUR WINDOW AT #261

AJ Arcuri

Drafted by LAR , GM Les Snead · Michigan St.

2022 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OT grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2021, the model gave a offensive tackle at #261 a 5.2% chance in 2022.

Offensive tackle at #261, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 12.8% · 2027 model: 3.6%

Surrounding picks · 2022 draft

#256LBJesse LuketaARI , GM Steve Keim
#257OGMarquis HayesARI , GM Steve Keim
#258WRSamori ToureGB , GM Brian Gutekunst
#259SNazeeh JohnsonKC , GM Brett Veach
#260RBZander HorvathLAC , GM Tom Telesco
#262QBBrock PurdySF , GM John Lynch

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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