OT · pick 40, First OT at #40 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OT grouping. (1974)

OT·pick 40

FIRST OT IN OUR WINDOW AT #40

Corbett, BillyBilly Corbett

Drafted by CLE · Johnson C. Smith

1974 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OT grouping.

OTs drafted at #40 in NFL history

most recent: Mike Pearson (JAX, 2002)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1973, the model gave a offensive tackle at #40 a 9.4% chance in 1974.

Offensive tackle at #40, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 11.2% · 2027 model: 4.4%

Surrounding picks · 1974 draft

#35OTKeith FahnhorstSF
#36TEPaul SealNO
#37RBEd ShuttlesworthIND
#38TEAndre TillmanMIA
#39DTBilly HowardDET
#41OTCharlie GettyKC
#42DTCarl WaferDEN
#43CMark MarkovichLAC
#44WRGerald TinkerATL
#45TEDave CasperLV

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2002Mike PearsonJAX , GM Tom Coughlin · Florida
1983Rich StrengerDET , GM Russ Thomas · Michigan

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