Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OT·pick 43

FIRST OT IN OUR WINDOW AT #43

Dan Dierdorf

Drafted by ARI · Michigan

1971 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OT grouping.

4
OTs drafted at #43 in NFL history
most recent: Maurice Williams (JAX, 2001)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1970, the model gave a offensive tackle at #43 a 11.0% chance in 1971.

Offensive tackle at #43, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%11.6% 1971: 11.0%

Peak: 11.6% · 2027 model: 4.3%

Surrounding picks · 1971 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

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