Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OT·pick 45

FIRST OT IN OUR WINDOW AT #45

Ray Parson

Drafted by DET · Minnesota

1970 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OT grouping.

3
OTs drafted at #45 in NFL history
most recent: Walker Little (JAX, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1969, the model gave a offensive tackle at #45 a 11.3% chance in 1970.

Offensive tackle at #45, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%11.6% 1970: 11.3%

Peak: 11.6% · 2027 model: 4.2%

Surrounding picks · 1970 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

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