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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OT·pick 51

FIRST OT IN OUR WINDOW AT #51

Tim Foley

Drafted by IND , GM Dick Szymanski · Notre Dame

1980 · round 2

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OT grouping.

3
OTs drafted at #51 in NFL history
most recent: Scott Bergold (ARI, 1985)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1979, the model gave a offensive tackle at #51 a 7.5% chance in 1980.

Offensive tackle at #51, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%11.4% 1980: 7.5%

Peak: 11.4% · 2027 model: 3.8%

Surrounding picks · 1980 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

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